Research
Working Papers
Is the allocation of human capital between entrepreneurs and workers a key determinant of aggregate productivity and income? How pervasive are its implications for macro-development? Analyzing international survey data unveils a new empirical fact: there is a strong positive link among the adjusted rate of entrepreneurship for higher educated individuals and output per worker or total factor productivity (TFP). Further focus on the U.S. reveals an asymmetric U-shaped pattern between schooling and selection into entrepreneurship, while average business outcomes are strictly increasing for more educated firm owners/managers. I rationalize these findings in a versatile heterogeneous agent model with occupational and educational choices. Under the hypothesis that entrepreneurial human capital may enhance productive capacities via costly technology adoption, the entrepreneurship–education nexus has first-order aggregate and distributional consequences. Quantitative explorations suggest sizeable and persistent misallocation losses due to inadequate complementarity between idiosyncratic talent and human capital. This novel channel can often account for a major share of cross-country income differences vis-à-vis the U.S., as it drastically affects both factor accumulation and endogenous TFP formation.
Is promoting entrepreneurship always conducive to long-run growth? To what extent should policymakers strive to ensure entrepreneurial risk away? We explore these questions in an endogenous growth model with occupational choice, where individuals are heterogeneous in their risk attitude and entrepreneurial ability. Less risk-averse and sufficiently productive agents become entrepreneurs and contribute to growth by expanding product variety. More risk-averse agents become workers and contribute to growth by enhancing capital formation. As risk tolerance leads to misallocation on the intensive margin, encouraging entrepreneurship may hinder aggregate productivity. The interplay of these forces results in a non-monotone relationship between the rate of entrepreneurship and balanced growth. Decentralized equilibria entail constrained-suboptimal allocations with either too few or too many active producers, even in the absence of financial frictions. Ensuring some entrepreneurial risk away is almost always growth-enhancing, but it is never optimal to provide full insurance.
Using international survey data I document that active entrepreneurs are substantially more educated relative to workers in richer than in poorer countries. I integrate this insight into a heterogeneous agent economy with occupational choice and entrepreneurial human capital as a factor of production. In an extended development accounting exercise, the average share of cross-country income differences due to total factor productivity–a measure of our ignorance–drops by 20-30% relative to the standard approach. Results highlight a distinct pathway along which human capital can emerge as the predominant source of discrepancies in output per worker, and complement alternative explanations such as quality-adjusted education and country-specific returns to experience.
Selected Work in Progress
Mainstream macroeconomic theory regards business cycles as temporary fluctuations arising from external shocks, without which the economy would reach a steady state or expand along a balanced growth path. This paper takes a fresh look at the alternative hypothesis that cyclical variations are an integral feature of a market economy, even in the absence of exogenous disturbances. In a tractable three-period lifecycle model with a collateral constraint, we show that under realistic parameter restrictions all competitive equilibria converge to limit cycles of an intrinsically asymmetric nature. Notably, recurring boom-bust phenomena arise endogenously even in simple endowment economies and do not rely on any atypical assumptions about primitives.
This paper aims to establish certain existence and uniqueness theorems for heterogeneous agent economies in continuous time and with exogenous state variables following general Lévy processes. The main techniques employed come from recent advances in Mean Field Game theory along with a general version of the Birkhoff Ergodic theorem. It builds on and extends some of the results in Açigköz (2018), Light (2020), and Light and Weintraub (2022), first by weakening the conditions on relative risk aversion on the preference side, and then by allowing for occupational choice and heterogeneous producers on the production side.